Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.001425 0.001478 0.001532 0.001592 0.001656 0.001723 0.001798
2025-08-03 0.001325 0.001400 0.001480 0.001571 0.001674 0.001786 0.001918
2025-08-10 0.001268 0.001360 0.001461 0.001579 0.001717 0.001874 0.002069
2025-08-17 0.001213 0.001316 0.001431 0.001570 0.001736 0.001932 0.002185
2025-08-24 0.001165 0.001275 0.001400 0.001554 0.001744 0.001974 0.002282
2025-08-31 0.001146 0.001266 0.001405 0.001580 0.001801 0.002078 0.002465
2025-09-07 0.001120 0.001246 0.001394 0.001586 0.001832 0.002149 0.002609
2025-09-14 0.001086 0.001216 0.001370 0.001571 0.001835 0.002182 0.002702
2025-09-21 0.001053 0.001185 0.001342 0.001550 0.001828 0.002200 0.002773
2025-09-28 0.001027 0.001160 0.001322 0.001538 0.001830 0.002230 0.002863
2025-10-05 0.000986 0.001116 0.001275 0.001488 0.001778 0.002180 0.002826
2025-10-12 0.000965 0.001097 0.001259 0.001478 0.001781 0.002209 0.002913
2025-10-19 0.000952 0.001087 0.001255 0.001485 0.001809 0.002275 0.003072
2025-10-26 0.000932 0.001069 0.001239 0.001475 0.001811 0.002305 0.003173
2025-11-02 0.000922 0.001062 0.001238 0.001486 0.001844 0.002383 0.003368
2025-11-09 0.000906 0.001047 0.001225 0.001478 0.001849 0.002418 0.003490
2025-11-16 0.000888 0.001029 0.001208 0.001465 0.001845 0.002437 0.003582
2025-11-23 0.000885 0.001030 0.001217 0.001488 0.001897 0.002553 0.003885
2025-11-30 0.000876 0.001023 0.001214 0.001493 0.001922 0.002623 0.004104
2025-12-07 0.000860 0.001007 0.001198 0.001480 0.001916 0.002640 0.004212
2025-12-14 0.000843 0.000989 0.001180 0.001462 0.001901 0.002640 0.004279
2025-12-21 0.000830 0.000975 0.001166 0.001451 0.001897 0.002659 0.004395
2025-12-28 0.000805 0.000946 0.001131 0.001406 0.001837 0.002571 0.004239